How Many Narrow AIs Could Behave Like One Superintelligence - Daniel Kokotajlo and Thomas Larsen
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AIAGIAI safetyAI governance
Larsen and Kokotajlo walk through AI 2040: Plan A, their scenario in which governments make a verifiable deal to slow down and superintelligence arrives in 2040 rather than around 2030. Larsen names the problems it is built to solve (loss of control; concentration of power, as in “aligned to humanity, but to who?”; and conflict over AI) and makes transparency a core principle. Asked whether many narrow AIs might work like one collective intelligence, both argue that the history of AI has favoured returns to scale.